List of Recent Publications (selection)
2026
Interview Pinneberger Tageblatt: Rückkehr zur Kanonenbootpolitik full text, 20 April 2026.
Islamabad in the Spotlight, New Delhi Sidelined, Beijing in the Background full text, in Toda Global Outlook, 13 April 2026.
The Role of Middle Powers in the Global Disorder full text, in Toda Report, 03 April 2026.
Regime Change - Sometimes it Works, Often it Doesn't full text, in Toda Global Outlook, 01 April 2026.
Vier Szenarien zur Zukunft des Ukrainekrieges full text, in Wissenschaft & Frieden, March 2026.
Warum Iran, warum nicht Nordkorea? full text, March 2026.
Die NATO zerfällt, die EU schwächelt - gut so!, full text, in Telepolis, 10 February 2026.
NATO is Falling Apart; the EU is Faltering--Good! full text, in Toda Global Outlook, 04 February 2026.
Republished: full text, in NATO Watch, 11 February 2026.
Contested Future Paths in the War Against Ukraine: Conceivable Scenarios, full text, in Toda Report, 269, 28 January 2026.
Ukraine-Krieg: Diplomatie statt Sieg oder Niederlage, full text, in nd, 26 Januar 2026.
Trump's 'Board of Peace': Reign of the Rich, full text, in Toda Global Outlook, 24 January 2026.
Kauf Dich ein, full text, in IPG Journal, 22 Januar 2026.
Die Sanktionen geben den Spielraum vor, full text, in Neue Zürcher Zeitung, 19 Januar 2026.
2025
Rückkehr der Kanonenboote full text, in IPG Journal, 1 December 2025.
The "Donroe Doctrine", full text, in Toda Global Outlook, 26 November 2025.
De facto Atommacht, full text, in IPG Journal, 10 November 2025.
Waffen, Öl, Weltpolitik: Indiens Partnerschaft mit Russland, full text, in Widerspruch, Jg. 44, 2. Halbjahr 2025, 73-85.
Wieviel Aufrüstung braucht Europa? Fernsehinterview RTL Luxemburg mit Alexander Lurz, Greenpeace und Herbert Wulf, 21. 10. 2025, full interview.
Nordkorea ist ein umkalkulierbares Risiko, full text, in Neue Zürcher Zeitung, 17 Oct. 2025.
Undoing North Korea's Nuclear Program: Iran is not a Blueprint, full text, in Toda Global Outlook, 15 October 2025.
The Return of the Ugly American, full text, in Toda Global Outlook, 01 October 2025.
Department of War: George Orwell Would Feel Validated, full text, in Toda Global Outlook, 10 September 2025.
Orwell im Oval Office, full text, in IPG Journal, 11 September 2025.
Ein Angriff Russlands auf die NATO? (A Russian Attack Against NATO), full text, in Wissenschaft und Frieden, 03/2025, 10-13.
Abdruck gekürzt in nd: Greift Russland die Nato an?, full text, in nd, 4. November 2025
Squaring the Circle, full text, in Toda Global Outlook, 20 August 2025.
Die russische Bedrohung: Warum der Westen sich selbst in Angst versetzt full text, in Telepolis, 6 August 2025.
Endless Strife in Kashmir. Concepts on How not to Resolve Conflicts, full text, in Toda Report 237, August 2025.
Trump's Tariff Offensive Against BRICS, full text, in Toda Global Outlook, 25 July 2025.
Zu viele Köche. Beim BRICS-Gipfel überwiegen die Unterscheide full text, in IPG Journal, July 2025.
Donald Trump: Self-proclaimed Peacemaker lacking Fortune and Expertise, full text, in Toda Global Outlook, 3 June 2025.
Kaschmir-Konflikt hat überregionale Dimension, full text, in Neue Zürcher Zeitung, 11 May 2025.
Kashmir: Escalating to War?, full text, in Toda Global Outlook, 8 May 2025.
Kashmir: Paradise Lost, full text, in Toda Global Outlook, 29
April 2025.
The Shift from Smart to Dumb Power, full text, in Toda Global Outlook, 4 April 2025.
Europe's New Bellicism: Rearmament in a Frenzy, full text, in Toda Global Outlook, 21 March 2025.
Von Korea lernen (Korea ceasefire as model for Ukraine), full text, in IPG Journal, March 2025.
Mehr Geld bedeutet noch nicht mehr Sicherheit (More Money Equals not more Security) full text, in Neue Zürcher Zeitung, February 13, 2025
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When is Enough, Enough? The Security Dilemma in Europe, full text, in Toda Report 209, February.
Mit Russland ins Gespräch kommen full text, 08 February 2025.
Interview Pinneberger Tageblatt full text, 02 February 2025.
Back to the Monroe Doctrine? full text, in Toda Global Outlook, January 14.
Trump 2.0: USA werden von Grönland bis Kanada zur Bedrohung, full text, in: Telepolis, January 12.
2024
Ziemlich beste Feinde. China, Indien und Russland zwischen Rivalität und gemeinsamen Interessen full text, in Bundeszentrale für Politische Bildung, BRICS, December 2024.
Is Time Ripe for an End to the Ukraine War? full text, in Global Outlook, Toda Peace Institute, November 2024.
Schützenhilfe von Kims Söldnern (Assisted by Kim's Soldiers), full text, in IPG Journal, October 2024.
Wann ist genug, genug? Ein Vergleich der militärischen Potenziale der Nato und Russlands (When is enough enough? Comparing the military potentials of Nato and Russia) full text, Greenpeace, October 2024.
Triangulation. With these Friends: China, India and Russia in BRICS full text, in Toda Peace Institute, Report 202, 20 October 2024.
Der Traum von einer multipolaren Welt (Dreaming of a multipolar world) full text, in Neue Zürcher Zeitung, October 17, 2024.
Russia's Mercenary Diplomacy in Africa full text, in Global Outlook, Toda Peace Institute, September
2024.
Indo-Chinese Relations: On a Collision Course, full text, bicc report, August 2024.
Der Krieg ist eine grosses Geschäft (War is big business). full text, in Neue Zürcher Zeitung, 15 July 2024.
Besuch beim "lieben Freund". full text, in IPG Journal, July 2024.
After the Election: What Next in India? full text, in Global Outlook, Toda Peace Institute, June
2024.
Russian-North Korean Cooperation of Convenience full text, in Global Outlook, Toda Peace Institute, June
2024.
Ziemlich beste Freunde. Putins Besuch in Nordkorea. full text, in Telepolis, 23 June 2024.
Die Außenpolitik und Außenwirtschaft Indiens (India' Foreign Policy and Foreign Trade), in: Markus Hans-Peter Müller (ed.), Indien im 21. Jahrhundert, Springer Gabler, Frankfurt/Main, 2024, 183 - 204.
Eiszeit zwischen Indien und China (Ice cold India-China Relations). full text, in Neue Zürcher Zeitung, 06 May 2024.
It's China, Stupid! Warum der Westen Indien hofiert. full text, in Telepolis, 21 April 2024.
It's China, Stupid! Why the West is Courting India. full text, in Global Outlook, Toda Peace Institute, April 2024.
Die Mär vom NATO-Defizit full text, in IPG Journal, April 2024.
Agonising over Europe's Defence. Some Narratives are Getting Ahead of the Facts. full text, in Global Outlook, Toda Peace Institute, April 2024.
Boots on the Ground full text, in Global Outlook, Toda Peace Institute, March 2024.
Will Kim Jong Un Risk a War? full text, in Vision on Humanity, March 2024.
Nord- und Südkorea: Riskiert Kim Jong-un einen Krieg? full text, in Telepolis, February 2024.
Ten Take-aways on Russia's War and Five Ideas for the Future of Ukraine and Beyond full text, in Policy Brief 183, Toda Peace Institute, January 2024.
2023
Reaktionen der BRICS auf den Ukrainekrieg full text, in Bundeszentrale für Politische Bildung, Global Auswirkungen des Kriegs in der Ukraine, December 2023.
India's Balancing Act. full text, in Global Outlook, Toda Peace Institute, October 2023.
Indiens Balanceakt full text, in IPG Journal, Oktober 2023.
India's Surprising Change of Course full text, in International Politics and Society, October 2023.
Krieg als Geschäft full text, in Bundeszentrale für politische Bildung, Deutschland Archiv, 20. Oktober 2023.
A Pact of the Pariahs full text, in International Politics and Society, September 2023.
Pakt der Parias full text, in IPG Journal, September 2023.
"Rent-a-Soldier": War as Business full text, in Policy Brief 170, Toda Peace Institute, September 2023.
In Search for an Exit Strategy. full text, in Global Outlook, Toda Peace Institute, August 2023.
Republished: full text
In Vision for Humanity
Exit-Strategie gesucht full text, in IPG Journal, August 2023.
Skyfall. Cluster Munitions for Ukraine. full text, in Global Outlook, Toda Peace Institute, July 2023.
Blankoscheck für die USA full text, in IPG Journal, July 2023.
Their Business is Military Force: The Wagner Festival is Cancelled. full text, in Global Outlook, Toda Peace Institute, June 2023.
Additional BRICS for an Expansion of the House full text, in Global Outlook, Toda Peace Institute, June 2023.
Kampfansage an den Westen full text, in IPG Journal, June 2023.
De-Risking, Not De-Coupling: Is it More Than A Smart Shift in Terminology? full text, in Global Outlook, Toda Peace Institute, May 2023.
No risk, no trade full text, in IPG Journal, Mai 2023.
Nuclear Clouds Over the 38th Parallel full text, in Global Outlook, Toda Peace Institute, May 2023.
China-Strategy: Transatlantic and European Cacophony full text, in Global Outlook, Toda Peace Institute, April 2023.
Endloser Gipfelkampf full text, in IPG Journal, März 2023.
Military Skirmishes in the Himalayas full text, in Global Outlook, Toda Peace Institute, March 2023.
Alles auf Sieg. full text, in IPG Journal, März 2023.
Chicken-Game full text, in Global Outlook, Toda Peace Institute, March 2023.
Tschüss Schattendasein. Indiens weltpolitische Rolle full text, in IPG Journal, Januar 2023.
At the Top Table. Will 2023 Be India's Year? full text, in Global Outlook, Toda Peace Institute, January 2023.
republished: full text, in Vision of Humanity, February 2023.
Hochgerüstet in die Sackgasse. Gibt es einen Ausweg aus der politischen, ökonomischen und militärischen Eskalation? full text, in IPG Journal, Januar 2023.
English version: Security is more than defense with weapons. full text, in IPS Journal, January 2023..
2022
Security Disorder: Is There a Way Out? full text, in Global Outlook, Toda Peace Institute, December 2022.
Defense Industry Europe full text, authors: Sebastian Schulze-Marmeling, Peter Wilke, Herbert Wulf, in: industrial (European Trade Union) and Syndex. Brussels 2022.
Strategic Dilemma: German in Search for an effective China Strategy. full text, in Global Outlook, Toda Peace Institute, November 2022.
Realitätscheck full text, in IPG Journal, November 2022.
Should the Outcast be recognized? full text, in Global Outlook, Toda Peace Institute, November 2022.
What's next in the Ukraine War? full text, in Global Outlook, Toda Peace Institute, October 2022.
Ritt auf der Bombe (North Korea's Nuclear Bomb) full text, in IPG Journal, September 2022.
Possible Deployment of North Korea's Nuclear Weapons: "Automatically and Immediately" full text, in Global Outlook, Toda Peace Institute, September 2022.
The Ukraine conflict between escalation and options for negotiations full text, in Visions of Humanity, September 2022.(co-authored with Tobias Debiel).
Mit Russland reden (We need to talk to Russia) full text, in Der Freitag, 1 September 2022.
Trend zur Eskalation (Tendency for Escalation) full text, in IPG Journal, July 2022.
Caring about Nuclear Sharing: A Set-Back for Nuclear Arms Control full text, in Global Outlook, Toda Peace Institute July 2022.
Nukleare Teilhabe: Wie Europa lernte, die Bombe zu lieben (Caring about nuclear sharing: How Europe learned to love the bomb), full text, in Telepolis, July 11, 2022.
Den Gürtel weiter schnallen (Military Expenditures in Europe), full text, in IPG Journal, June 2022.
Squaring the Circle full text, in Global Outlook, Toda Peace Institute June 2022.
Dark Clouds Over North Korea full text, in Global Outlook, Toda Peace Institute May 2022.
Dunkle Wolken über Nordkorea, full text, in Telepolis, 28 May 2022.
Eskalation, Deeskalation und - vielleicht irgendwann - ein Ende des Krieges? full text, in: Zeitschrift für sozialistische Politik, Ausgabe 2, 249, S. 42-48, 2022.
About Football-, Pandemic-, Kremlin- and Military Experts full text, in Global Outlook, Toda Peace Institute, May 2022.
Von Fußball-, Pandemie-, Kreml- und Militärexperten full text, in Telepolis, 15 May 2022.
Escalation, De-escalation and Perhaps-Eventually-an End to the War? full text, in Policy Brief 128, Toda Peace Institute, April 2022.
Double Standards full text, in Global Outlook, Toda Peace Institute, April 2022.
republished in IDN InDepthNewes full text
Ausgerüstet. Steht das indisch-russische Verhältnis vor einer Zäsur? (armed. the indo-russian relations) full text, in IPG Journal, March 2022.
Panikpolitik (politics in panic) full text, in IPG Journal, March 2022.
Escalation and De-escalation in the Ukraine War full text, in Global Outlook, Toda Peace Institute, March 2022.
republished in Pearls and Irritations: full text
Eskalation und Deeskalation im Ukraine-Krieg (Escalation and De-escalation in the Ukraine War) full text, in Development and Peace Blog, Institute for Development and Peace, University of Essen/Duisburg, March 2022.
Putin's War in Ukraine: How to get out of the Catch-22 Situation?full text, in Global Outlook, Toda Peace Institute March 2022.
Ukraine-Konflikt: Entspannungspolitik oder Gegenmaßnahmen? Eskalieren hilft nicht (Ukraine conflict: Détente oder counter-measures? Escalation is not helpful) full text, in Frankfurter Rundschau 11 February 2022.
Fest im Sattel, full text, in IPG Journal, Januar 2022.
Kim Dynasty: Firmly in Control full text, in Global Outlook, Toda Peace Institute January 2022.
Von wegen größte Demokratie der Welt full text, in IPG Jan. 2022.
Putin und Biden: Wer blinzelt zuerst? full text, in Telepolis, Janary 4, 2022.
Putin and Biden: Who will blink first? full text, in Global Outlook, Toda Peace Institute, January 2022.
2021
Setting new priorities: The EU shifts from civil peace and development projects to military policies. in: Ramesh Thakur (ed.) (2021), The Nuclear Ban Treaty, Rutledge, 157 - 159, publisher.
An Important TPNW Signal from Germany - But Nothing More full text, in Global Outlook, Toda Peace Institute December 2021.
Zweischneidiges Schwert: Kalter Krieg mit China? full text, in IPG Nov. 2021.
Are we heading for a Cold War with China? full text, in Global Outlook, Toda Peace Institute November 2021.
Im Abseits full text, in IPG Oct 2021.
The EU Sidelined? full text, in Global Outlook, Toda Peace Institute October 2021.
You cannot lead a war and build the nation at the same time, full text, Interview in Centre für Global Cooperation Research, September 2021.
Man kann nicht gleichzeitig Krieg führen und eine Nation aufzubauen versuchen, full text, Interview in Centre für Global Cooperation Research, September 2021.
Was geschieht in Nordkorea? (What is happening in North Korea), full text, in Telepolis, September 2021.
Von Afghanistanpolitik zu sprechen ist ein Euphemismus (To speak of an Afghanistan policy is a euphemism), full text, in Telepolis, August 2021.
Afghanistan: Can We Learn from the Mistakes and Chaos? full text, in Global Outlook, Toda Peace Institute August 2021.
Rallying for a China Strategy full text, in Policy Brief 112, Toda Peace Institute July 2021.
Pipe Dreams: Nord Stream 2, full text, in Global Outlook, Toda Peace Institute July 2021.
Balancing Act in Asia full text, in Global Outlook, Toda Peace Institute May 2021.
Das kleinere Übel? full text, in IPG May 2021.
The Renaissance of Geopolitics (in Europe) full text, in Toda Institute, Global Outlook, May 2021.
Biden sollte mit Kim telefonieren (Biden should call Kim), Interview in Radio NDR about the US North Korea policy interview, in Radio NDR April 2021.
On the Way to a new Arms Race and a New Cold War? full text in Toda Institute, Global Outlook, March. 2021.
Republished in IPS Journal: Not even the pandemic could stop a new arms race full text in 13 April 2021.
German version: Globaler Rüstungsboom full text, in IPG, April 2021.
The Rule of Law: Undermined and Under Attack. Questioning the State Monopoly on the Legitimate Use of Physical Force full text Toda Policy Brief 105, March. 2021.
Setting New Priorities: The EU Shifts from Civil and Development Projects to Military Policies full text, in Toda Institute, Global Outlook, March 2021.
"Beyond Westlessness": A "Restless" Post-Trump Order? full text, in Toda Institute, Global Outlook, February 2021.
Vergesst Trump! Münchener Sicherheitskonferenz.full text, in IPG February 2021.
Warten auf Joe. Kommt die nächste Koreakrise? (Waiting for Joe. The next Korea crisis?) full text, in IPG January 2021.
The Rule of Law under Attack full text, in Toda Peace Institute. Global Outlook, January 2021.
Eigene Patronen statt Schutzpatron. Der Sturm auf das Kapitol (Attacking law and order. Storming the Capitol) full text, in IPG January 2021.
2020
The European Union's Security and Defence Policy: Struggling to Find its Role in the Big Power Game full text Toda Policy Brief 88, Sept. 2020.
Outsourcing der Gewalt (Outsourcing violence) full text, in IPG August 2020.
In die Quere. Asiens Supermächte China und Indien streben nach Höherem (Across with each other. Asia's superpowers strive for the High-table) full text, in IPG June 2020.
Am Abgrund. Soziale Konflikte, wachsende Rivalität mit China und nun auch noch Corona (At the brink. Social conflicts, increasing rivalry with China and now Corona) full text, in IPG June 2020.
Fait accompli. Ist die Denuklearisierung Koreas noch möglich? (Is denuclearization in Korea still possible?), Wissenschaft und Frieden, 2/2020, 40-42, abstract.
Aus der Zeit gefallen. Kampfflugzeuge der USA kaufen? full text, Internationale Politik und Gesellschaft, May 2020.
Mythos. "Die Bundeswehr ist zu schlecht ausgerüstet, weil sie zu wenig Geld bekommt." Kommentar full text, in Friedenswarte, Vol. 92, Issue 3-4., S. 162-166.
Exhausts to respirators? Experiences in the conversion of production sites help to avoid misleading simplifications. full text
Auspuffe zu Atemgeräten? Erfahrungen mit Konversion von Produktionsstätten helfen, irreführende Vereinfachungen vermeiden. full text
Corona-Krise und Zukunft - Keine Zeit für Kriegsherren, full text, Telepolis, 3 April 2020.
Corona Crisis and Future Priorities €- No Time for Strong-men Actions, full text, Cooperative Security Initiative, 6 April 2020
The G20's Responsibility for Arms Control. full text Vision of Humanity, Feb. 2020.
